Massachusetts Miracle

Started by Warph, January 17, 2010, 02:00:07 AM

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Warph

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7nEoW-P81-0&feature=player_embedded

The political elite should not underestimate the resilience of the American people to defend their liberty from a tyrannical government.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7nEoW-P81-0&feature=player_embedded
"Every once in a while I just have a compelling need to shoot my mouth off." 
--Warph

"If you don't have a sense of humor, you probably don't have any sense at all."
-- Warph

"A gun is like a parachute.  If you need one, and don't have one, you'll probably never need one again."

Warph

Scott Brown Can Win and this is Why:

1.  Coakley alienated Mass voters when she started running to replace Ted Kennedy before Ted had actually died. She managed to get a jump on her opponents and avoid blowback in the primary but those chickens are coming home to roost now.

2. She's the Anti-Kennedy. Mass voters are undoubtedly aware they can't bring bring Ted back, but that doesn't mean they're going to vote in someone who couldn't be any more different. If this was a Star Trek episode, Martha would have come straight from the antimatter universe, goatee and all. Ted was a lovable, freewheeling mess of man. Martha's a prim pantsuit wearing charismatic black hole. Ted reminds you of that fun uncle who'd give you his back issues of playboy and sometimes even buy you beer. Martha's your wife's sister who hates you. Ted loved to mix it up with his constituents. Martha's flunkies shove the hoi polloi to the curb when they get too close. Ted made you feel he was grateful for your support. Martha thinks you owe it to her. Ted could tell a joke. The closest Martha ever gets to a joke is when she makes herself one.

3.  She didn't run a crappy campaign; for that to be true she would have had to actually run a campaign. She set her sights on the primary and after she nailed that she went on vacation, assuming she had done all the work she needed. And when she got back from Boca (or wherever) her first reaction to Brown's surge was to dive into the party elite. Instead of appealing to the voters she went over their heads to their bosses – the people who really count. And they opened their wallets to her. Scant hours after her disastrous debate performance the first big money attack add hit the "Massachusettes" airwaves and they've been flying fast and thick ever since – sometimes two and three deep.  Clinton's there and Obama's coming Sunday. Don't think the voters haven't noticed this end run around them. It only makes her look more desperate and a bit slimy.

4. Her helpers haven't helped much. Governor Deval Patrick's a corrupt mess. The State's flat on its back. And the leak last week that Mass might hold up Brown's certification if he wins only reinforced the perception among voters that their vote doesn't count, and this has deepened their resentment.

5. She's an apparatchik. Ted had influence, Coakley will arrive in DC as just another cog in the machine. Voters know that electing Scott Brown will have instant national repercussions and it appeals to their vanity.

6. Independents, which make up the majority of the mass electorate, have been deserting the party in droves. Oddly enough, a recent 25% sales tax increase, a moribund economy and high unemployment have conspired to reduce the attractiveness of a machine party candidate who actually proclaimed recently that "We've got to get taxes up in this state". There's a limit to what even Massachusetts voters will take – and Coakley's smashed headfirst into it.

7. Scott brown is not Coakley.

8. All the drama favors Brown. He has the momentum and his supporters are energized. They will turn out. Coakley's not so much. The current slimy barrage of attack ads aimed at Brown are probably discouraging some of her potential voters from hitting the polls because support for her means support for this transparent nastiness. If Coakley had turned negative a month ago and measured out the attacks if would have worked. Now this wild overkill just looks hysterical and even a bit evil.

9. It's obvious in retrospect that this was always Coakley's race to lose. She had every advantage from the start and if she does blow it next week most of the blame should go  to her. But Brown deserves accolades for running a great campaign. He specializes in winning special elections – he got his current seat in 2004 against an affable but hapless opponent even after the Dems had rigged the election by scheduling it the same day as the national one. They assumed that voters who turned out for Kerry would just write off Brown in their partisan fervor. And while they did go heavily for Kerry that day they also went against the party grain and elected Brown. As one insider said "We cheated and he won anyway.". One could not imagine any candidate better suited to knock off Coakley.

10. Two years ago Massachusetts went heavy for "Hope and Change". This year they're going to do it again.
"Every once in a while I just have a compelling need to shoot my mouth off." 
--Warph

"If you don't have a sense of humor, you probably don't have any sense at all."
-- Warph

"A gun is like a parachute.  If you need one, and don't have one, you'll probably never need one again."

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