Playing With Pandemic Numbers

[Wake-up!]

Imperial College London's Neil Ferguson - who originally estimated 500,000 deaths in the UK due to Coronavirus, now says that the virus will peak in just two or three weeks, and that UK deaths from the disease are now unlikely to exceed 20,000, according to NewScientist.

Read a short article here;  https://www.zerohedge.com/health/prof-who-predicted-500k-deaths-uk-has-startling-change-heart-now-predicts-under-20k-two-week

Here is an 'expert' that used a mathematical model to determine the virus' virulence. The models do not produce facts, they produce approximations. And those approximations have a range, or a variation, associated with the outcome they determine. The outcome is talked about like it is cast in stone. And the variation is never mentioned.

All mathematical models are also based on a series of assumptions, the outcome being no better, nor more valid, then the initial assumptions.

And these mathematical models have replaced thought processes among the public health policy 'experts' world-wide.

Now, who is to say this guy's new estimate is any better, or more accurate, than his first one? Yeah, it would be nice to breathe a sigh of relief over this whole 'pandemic', but with 'experts' like this guy leading politicians around by a nose ring . . . .

[upoladeb2]

this is a good fire drill,for when the nuts put out some germ that makes you bleed out your orifices .learn from this people

[Wake-up!]

And, guess what, the ever popular Dr. Fauci, coveted by the MSM, just co-authored an article in the New England Journal of Medicine (NEJM) where it was stated, "If one assumes that the number of asymptomatic or minimally symptomatic cases is several times as high as the number of reported cases, the case fatality rate may be considerably less than 1%."

So now the heralded doctor is also backing off on the consequence of Coronavirus. Imagine that, government(s) blowing things out of proportion.

Here is a link referencing the article;  https://www.lewrockwell.com/2020/03/no_author/dr-fauci-concedes-the-coronavirus-mortality-rate-may-be-much-closer-to-a-very-bad-flu/

And here is the NEJM article in its entirety;  https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMe2002387

[Wake-up!]

Oh no, this just in. Fauci, the Trump antagonist, has just admitted he 'would bet' that those recovering from the CV-19 will have immunity.

See this:  https://www.yahoo.com/news/fauci-said-hes-willing-bet-154522043.html

That flies in the face of many 'experts' who have claimed we have no immunity to this virus because it is novel.

And I have to ask, if recovered CV-19 patients will have immunity, how about those of us exposed to it who do not get sick from it, or just get mildly sick and have no need to see a doctor? Won't they be immune also? How couldn't they be immune, assuming their immune systems are healthy?